Where does Bitcoin find its bottom? This past week we've seen a significant Bitcoin selloff with BTC crashing from $97K to $66K in just a few weeks. So how far will Bitcoin drop? Today I'm covering my thoughts on the latest Bitcoin and Crypto market crash, key price levels I'm watching, daniel altmaier and I'll share why I plan on buying the fear.
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Chapters
00:00 Bitcoin crash intro + what we’ll cover
01:38 Why I’m calm: bear markets are the best allocation window
02:25 Macro setup: liquidity and why BTC is decorrelating
04:45 TGA explains the liquidity drain
07:13 Midterm elections + tariff dividend timing (why chop lasts)
15:18 Fed balance sheet into April + new Fed Chair uncertainty (May 15)
21:27 Cycle timing: when a bear market typically bottoms
24:39 Midterm-year analogs: 2014 / 2018 / 2022 bottom behavior
28:40 What changed: BTC vs gold correlation break (10/10/2025)
33:31 Bottom levels: prior ATH (~65k) and 200-week SMA (~58k)
40:35 Tail risk: capitulation scenario (40k) vs just buying 58k
44:04 Plan: buy spot into 58k zone + closing thoughts
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📜 Disclaimer 📜
The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses a considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.
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