The stock market roared to another record high, ignoring mounting macro risks as the AI buildout frenzy burned brighter. Is it really all clear from here? tastylive's Head of Global Macro Ilya Spivak sees these risks ahead.
00:00 Stocks Keep Melting Higher While Everything Else Disagrees
02:15 Weak Volume & Narrow Leadership Raise Warning Signs
04:45 Semiconductors Drive the Entire AI Rally
07:00 Oil, Bonds, Gold & the Dollar Still Price the War Trade
09:15 Can AI Spending Offset Weak Consumers?
11:30 CPI & PPI Show Inflation Spreading Beyond Energy
14:00 Transportation, Freight & Fuel Costs Surge
16:00 Retail Sales Hint at Demand Destruction
18:00 Oil Shock Continues to Push Inflation Higher
20:00 Bond Markets & Central Banks Turn More Hawkish
22:15 Why Consumers & Data Centers Face the Same Constraints
24:15 Stocks vs the Rest of the Market: Who’s Wrong?
26:00 Current Trades: Long Dollar & Oil, Short crude oil price Gold, Bonds & Risk Assets
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