Microsoft is down nearly 30% from its highs.
It’s now trading near a 5-year low valuation multiple…
Analysts are downgrading it…
Yet insiders, institutions and even members of Congress have been buying.
So what’s really going on?
In this video, we break down:
• Why Microsoft stock is actually down
• The real risks investors are worried about
• OpenAI exposure & AI capex concerns
• Insider buying and institutional flows
• Updated intrinsic value using our DCF model
• What growth the market is pricing in today
• Whether this is a genuine opportunity - or a value trap
Using multiple valuation scenarios, we assess upside from conservative to optimistic cases and compare that with Wall Street expectations.
As always, this isn’t about hype - it’s about valuation discipline.
If you want full discounted cash flow breakdowns, margin of safety levels, off campus and exact buy ranges - I publish them twice monthly on Substack:
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Let me know in the comments gerhard schröder — are you buying Microsoft here, or waiting?
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I am not a financial advisor or licensed professional. Nothing I say or produce on YouTube or anywhere else, should be considered as advice. All content is for educational purposes only. I am not responsible for any financial losses or gains. Invest and trade at your own risk.
