In this technical analysis update, I/O Fund Portfolio Manager Knox Ridley breaks down the semiconductor sector outlook, focusing on the SMH ETF trend structure and timberwolves vs spurs what it could signal for the broader market.
He analyzes key charts including Nvidia (NVDA), TSMC (TSM), ASML, and Broadcom (AVGO) to evaluate whether the sector is completing a late-stage uptrend or setting up for increased volatility.
Key topics covered:
- SMH Elliott Wave count and 1800 assistenti ministero cultura potential fifth-wave scenario
- Warning signals from momentum and volume divergences
- Institutional activity in Nvidia and Broadcom
- Whether semiconductors are nearing a cyclical peak
- What this could mean for the S&P 500 and mega-cap tech
This analysis focuses purely on market structure, sentiment, and technical patterns to map possible scenarios — not predictions or financial advice.
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